SAG Awards Predictions

[Big Magilla]

These are still almost a month away, but I'll take a shot at them:

BEST ENSEMBLE:
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Women Talking

Alternate: Triangle of Sadness

I don't know why everyone lists this category first as though it were the equivalent of a Best Picture Oscar. It isn't, although the two awards can coincide if the Oscar goes to film with a strong ensemble cast.

BEST LEAD MALE PERFORMANCE:
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Bill Nighy, Living
Jeremy Pope, The Inspection

Alternate: Paul Mescal, Aftersun

BEST LEAD FEMALE PERFORMANCE:
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Olivia Colman, Empire of Light
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Alternate: Margot Robbie, Babylon

BEST SUPPORTING MALE PERFORMANCE:
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Alternate: Ben Whishaw, Women Talking

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE PERFORMANCE:
Jessie Buckley, Women Talking
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Claire Foy, Women Talking
Nina Hoss, TÁR

Alternate: Hong Chau, The Whale

BEST STUNT ENSEMBLE
Avatar: The Way of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Everything Everywhere All at Once
RRR
Top Gun: Maverick

Alternate: The Woman King

[Sabin]

I see a continuing divergence between the Academy's taste and this group's.

BEST ENSEMBLE:
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Top Gun: Maverick
The Woman King

BEST LEAD MALE PERFORMANCE:
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Jeremy Pope, The Inspection

BEST LEAD FEMALE PERFORMANCE:
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

BEST SUPPORTING MALE PERFORMANCE:
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE PERFORMANCE:
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Janelle Monae, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Keke Palmer, Nope

BEST STUNT ENSEMBLE
Avatar: The Way of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick
The Woman King

[anonymous1980]

Let me take a stab at this.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE

Kerry Condon, Colin Farrell, Brendan Gleeson and Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin

Jamie Lee Curtis, James Hong, Stephanie Hsu, Ke Huy Quan, Harry Shum Jr., Jenny Slate and Michelle Yeoh, Everything, Everywhere All At Once

Julia Butters, Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch, Keeley Karsten, Gabriel LaBelle, Seth Rogen and Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Alia Bhatt, Ram Charan, Ajay Devgn, Alison Doody, Olivia Morris, N.T. Rama Rao Jr., Samuthirakani, Shriya Saran and Ray Stevenson, RRR

Jessie Buckley, Claire Foy, Judith Ivey, Rooney Mara, Sheila McCarthy, Frances McDormand and Ben Whishaw, Women Talking

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Austin Butler as Elvis Presley, Elvis
Colin Farrell as Pádraic Súilleabháin, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser as Charlie, The Whale
Bill Nighy as Mr. Williams, Living
Jeremy Pope as Ellis French, The Inspection

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Cate Blanchett as Lydia Tár, TÁR
Viola Davis as General Nanisca, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler as Mamie Till, Till
Michelle Williams as Mitzi Schildkraut-Fabelman, The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh as Evelyn Wang, Everything, Everywhere All At Once

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Brendan Gleeson as Colm Doherty, The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch as Boris Schildkraut, The Fabelmans
Ke Huy Quan as Waymond Wang, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne as Charles Cullen, The Good Nurse
Ben Whishaw as August Epp, Women Talking

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING IN A MOTION PICTURE
Angela Bassett as Ramonda, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Jessie Buckley as Mariche, Women Talking
Kerry Condon as Siobhán Súilleabháin, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis as Deirdre Beaubeirdre, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Stephanie Hsu as Joy Wang/Jobu Topaki, Everything, Everywhere All At Once

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Avatar: The Way of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Everything, Everywhere All At Once
RRR
Top Gun: Maverick