Unofficial Academy Awards Discussion Board

after last night, this makes a nice read

OscarGuy wrote:I don't think his point is to add something with 3D other than to create depth of environment.

That would be very uncharacteristically modest of him.

I don't think his point is to add something with 3D other than to create depth of environment. Wim Wenders used 3D effectively in a documentary about dancing, so the potential is there. Of course, after Australia, I don't expect much from Luhrmann.

Mister Tee wrote:My instinct is The Great Gatsby could play out the way Oliver Stone's Alexander did in 2004 -- near the top of prognosticators' lists throughout the year, but a total fiasco on arrival. Gatsby, probably because it's such a perfect work of prose, has resisted effective filmization repeatedly, and I don't see Baz Luhrmann as the guy to break the jink. And what in god's name could 3-D add to it? I just think it's a disaster waiting to happen.

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Couldn't agree more. I'll be waiting for DVD for that one and will only see it if it manages an Oscar nomination (will probably get some technically ones).

Big Magilla wrote:Way too early for me to do this, but I'm thinking Tobey Maguire would be more likely than Joel Edgerton for The Great Gatsby, though both are possible. Also Russell Crowe is a co-lead in Les Miserables. Sally Field could potentially become the frist three time winner to have won for all three films she was nominated for. Probably more likely if she's nominated in support for Lincoln, but not impossible if she's nominated in lead.

I think Lincoln is the only film that could be considered a ''lock'' at this stage. Although it's a pity that Liam Neeson (the original choice) isn't playing the lead.

My instinct is The Great Gatsby could play out the way Oliver Stone's Alexander did in 2004 -- near the top of prognosticators' lists throughout the year, but a total fiasco on arrival. Gatsby, probably because it's such a perfect work of prose, has resisted effective filmization repeatedly, and I don't see Baz Luhrmann as the guy to break the jink. And what in god's name could 3-D add to it? I just think it's a disaster waiting to happen.

I don't do blind, year-out predictions, but of course I look at the lists of projected films, and, as always, have hope at scanning them. Perhaps 2012 appears more promising than 2011, if only because so many intriguing directors have projects slated -- Cuaron, Ang Lee, both Andersons (Wes and Paul Thomas), Russell, Cronenberg, Tarantino, Bigelow, Dominick...plus Pixar back in original territory. We're overdue for an impressive mainstream year; maybe this group can deliver.
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ksrymy wrote:Note that Karen Black won for playing Myrtle at the Globes in '74.

Yes she won despite it being a terrible performance.

Note that Karen Black won for playing Myrtle at the Globes in '74.

The character of Jay Gatsby is so vapid that it's hard to think any actor could play him and be nominated. The flamboyant characters from the novel are Tom Buchanan and Myrtle Wilson and the introspective one is Nick Carraway. Actors playing these three roles have a better chance of getting nominated. And poor Daisy is such a whiny bore unless Carey Mulligan can do something different and breathe life into the character. This wonderful novel was such a disaster when it came to the big screen in 1974. I'm still looking for the 1949 version which is pretty hard to find. And it would be interesting to watch the silent version too, that is if it isn't a ''lost'' film.

Way too early for me to do this, but I'm thinking Tobey Maguire would be more likely than Joel Edgerton for The Great Gatsby, though both are possible. Also Russell Crowe is a co-lead in Les Miserables. Sally Field could potentially become the frist three time winner to have won for all three films she was nominated for. Probably more likely if she's nominated in support for Lincoln, but not impossible if she's nominated in lead.

Just for fun.

These are my year-in-advance Oscar acting predictions, ranked by likelihood of a nomination. Of course this is a crapshoot but it is always interesting to see who goes the distance from the early prediction lists. IIRC, I only predicted George Clooney, Brad Pitt, Meryl Streep, Viola Davis (albeit in a different category), Rooney Mara, Christopher Plummer and Octavia Spencer correctly for nominations from this past year’s bunch.

BEST ACTOR:

1. Daniel Day-Lewis (“Lincoln”)
2. John Hawkes (“The Surrogate”)
3. Bill Murray (“Hyde Park on Hudson”)
4. Hugh Jackman (“Les Misérables”)
5. Oscar Isaac (“Inside Llewyn Davis”)

6. Brad Pitt (“Cogan’s Trade”)
7. Clint Eastwood (“Trouble with the Curve”)
8. Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Great Gatsby”)
9. Josh Brolin (“The Gangster Squad”)
10. Denzel Washington (“Flight”)

11. Samuel L. Jackson (“The Samaritan”)
12. Bradley Cooper (“The Place Beyond the Pines”)
13. Jamie Foxx (“Django Unchained”)
14. Tommy Lee Jones (“Great Hope Springs”)
15. Tom Hardy (“The Wettest County”)

16. James McAvoy (“Filth”)
17. Joaquin Phoenix (“The Master”)
18. Sam Riley (“On the Road”)
19. Daniel Brühl (“Rush”)
20. Andrew Garfield (“Back Roads”)

BEST ACTRESS:

1. Helen Hunt (“The Surrogate”)
2. Keira Knightley (“Anna Karenina”)
3. Viola Davis (“Won’t Back Down”)
4. Marion Cotillard (“Low Life”)
5. Mary Elizabeth Winstead (“Smashed”)

6. Andrea Riseborough (“Shadow Dancer”)
7. Maggie Gyllenhaal (“Won’t Back Down”)
8. Sandra Bullock (“Gravity”)
9. Naomi Watts (“Sunlight Jr.”)
10. Rachel Mwanza (“War Witch”)

11. Abbie Cornish (“The Girl”)
12. Laura Linney (“Hyde Park on Hudson”)
13. Amanda Seyfried (“Lovelace”)
14. Meryl Streep (“Great Hope Springs”)
15. Kristen Wiig (“Imogene”)

16. Julianne Moore (“The English Teacher”)
17. Melissa Leo (“Francine”)
18. Carey Mulligan (“The Great Gatsby”)
19. Helen Hunt (“Decoding Annie Parker”)
20. Quvenzhané Wallis (“Beasts of the Southern Wild”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

1. Philip Seymour Hoffman (“The Master”)
2. Leonardo DiCaprio (“Django Unchained”)
3. David Strathairn (“Lincoln”)
4. John Cusack (“The Paperboy”)
5. Joel Edgerton (“The Great Gatsby”)

6. Sean Penn (“The Gangster Squad”)
7. Jude Law (“Anna Karenina”)
8. Benicio del Toro (“Savages”)
9. Chiwetel Ejiofor (“Savannah”)
10. Robert de Niro (“Being Flynn”)

11. Garrett Hedlund (“On the Road”)
12. Ralph Fiennes (“Great Expectations”)
13. Russell Crowe (“Les Misérables”)
14. Samuel L. Jackson (“Django Unchained”)
15. Peter Sarsgaard (“Lovelace”)

16. Steve Carell (“Great Hope Springs”)
17. Alexander Skarsgård (“The East”)
18. Paul Giamatti (“Cosmopolis”)
19. Christoph Waltz (“Django Unchained”)
20. Ryan Gosling (“The Gangster Squad”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

1. Olivia Williams (“Hyde Park on Hudson”)
2. Amy Adams (“The Master”)
3. Anne Hathaway (“Les Misérables”)
4. Helena Bonham Carter (“Great Expectations”)
5. Samantha Barks (“Les Misérables”)

6. Nicole Kidman (“The Paperboy”)
7. Annette Bening (“Imogene”)
8. Kristin Scott Thomas (“Only God Forgives”)
9. Isla Fisher (“The Great Gatsby”)
10. Emma Stone (“The Gangster Squad”)

11. Marcia Gay Harden (“Back Roads”)
12. Sally Field (“Lincoln”)
13. Michelle Pfeiffer (“Welcome to People”)
14. Jessica Chastain (“The Wettest County”)
15. Samantha Morton (“Decoding Annie Parker”)

16. Holly Hunter (“Won’t Back Down”)
17. Vanessa Redgrave (“Song for Marion”)
18. Carey Mulligan (“Inside Llewyn Davis”)
19. Mireille Enos (“The Gangster Squad”)
20. Kerry Washington (“Django Unchained”)