Having anonymous1980 said about the difficulty that Frozen 2 and Toy Story 4 face, it seems logical to add to that list HTTYD3.
An avalanche of French productions, a Chinese movie, a Norwegian feature film... there are more opportunities for international productions to get in this category than in any other except of course for Best International Film.
Buñuel in the Labyrinth of the Turtles is one of the three films that were shortlisted by the Spanish Academy of Cinema to represent Spain for Best International Feature Film, before
Dolor and Gloria was officially selected, so the prestige already precedes it, and considering that this category is not shy when nominating foreign feature films, it would not be unusual to see it landing a nomination here.
Dilili in Paris won the César for Best Animated Film in the last edition of the award. What can be seen in the trailer in terms of aesthetics is very interesting.
Funan is another French film and has an interesting premise, but I can´t help wondering why they choose the animation medium to portray a drama like this one: a woman in Cambodia looks for her missing son who was forcibly taken from her, during the beginning of the Khmer Rouge revolution in April 1975. Oscar nominee Berenice Bejó gives voice to the main character. In 2018 the film won big time at the Annecy Festival.
I Lost my Body, another French film, is the most recent winner at the Annecy Festival and comes from getting an award in Cannes.
Spies in Disguise, not being from Disney, will be distributed by the mouse studio. It seems to have more commercial aspirations than critical appeal. With the voices of Will Smith and Tom Holland, it will certainly will aspire for commercial success but it is difficult to see it as a contender.
The Tower, from Norway, seems to be another heavy drama. The film tells the story of a Palestinian girl in a refugee camp who learns her family's story through stories told by other refugees. The aesthetics (from the trailer) and the story have already won me over. It comes from winning at the Chicago International Children's Film Festival.
Weathering with You is the selected film from Japan in the Best International Feature Film category. Will it be able to nominate in both categories? Neither
Waltz with Bashir nor
Persepolis could do it. Of all the Japanese entries it seems to be the most likely to get in this category.
Once again,
HTTYD3 may have a chance to get a nomination considering the acceptance and pedigree of the previous titles from the trilogy, but criticism has not been benevolent. If it manages to be nominated, I believe it will be the first trilogy to nominate in this category.
White Snake, from China, has been lukewarmly received by critics.
Finally, I mention
Promare. It has a respected director in the world of anime and is distributed by GKIDS. GKIDS is a such a big player, a monster indeed, in distributing independent animated films, and has consistently achieved Oscar nominations year after year since it did so for the first time with
The Secrets of Kells. Take this quote from Wikipedia:
The company attained national recognition with the 2010 release of The Secret of Kells, the debut film by Irish animator Tomm Moore, which received a nomination for Best Animated Feature at the 82nd Academy Awards. This surprise nomination was followed by two more Best Animated Feature nominations at the 84th Academy Awards, Spanish-language Chico and Rita and French-language A Cat in Paris. Both nominations were considered highly surprising by film insiders, beating out such notables as The Adventures of Tintin and Cars 2 (...) In January 2018, The Breadwinner became the tenth GKIDS film to receive an Oscar nomination. In January 2019, Mirai became their eleventh.
So, here you have the responsible for all those obscure entries (most of which I am grateful for) in this category over the last few years. My point is that
Promare should be really taken seriously.
My choices without having seen them all:
- Frozen 2
- Missing Link (???)
- Toy Story 4
- Promare
- Weathering with You
Real possibilities:
- Buñuel in the Labyrinth of the Turtles
- Funa
- HTTYD3
- I Lost my Body