Re: Categories One-by-One: Visual Effects
Posted: Mon Feb 04, 2019 12:02 pm
Yeah, um... I don't know.
I suppose we could wait for the Visual Effects Society to announce their winners except they've been correct only 5 of the past 9 times. Three of their misses were Planet of the Apes films which are not in competition this year. The BAFTAs are a little better predicting 6 of the past 9 wins, although they could end up giving it to Black Panther.
Yeah, not sure. I'm inclined to say that there really isn't a precedent that applies to this race. The logic of 2017 would suggest that the most nominations wins and it's really about creating a world rather than one specific, memorable effect. The logic of 2015 would suggest that the most nominations doesn't matter, creating a world isn't more important than creating one, specific memorable effect. Meanwhile, the logic of 2016 would suggest that the most nominations don't matter and also we're down to nominate cartoons. Who does any of this favor?
It could go any which way. So.. what did they see? What did they like? Sure, they saw First Man but I'm really not sure how much they liked it and also one does have to wait until the first half hour to get to the effect. Christopher Robin is probably more in the race than people think simply by virtue of being a family film that voters can watch with their children and for being the sole family film in the race (I also have it in my Oscar pool). But as of now, I'm just guessing Avengers Infinity War based on the fact that Thanos is a pretty remarkable CGI creation.
I suppose we could wait for the Visual Effects Society to announce their winners except they've been correct only 5 of the past 9 times. Three of their misses were Planet of the Apes films which are not in competition this year. The BAFTAs are a little better predicting 6 of the past 9 wins, although they could end up giving it to Black Panther.
Yeah, not sure. I'm inclined to say that there really isn't a precedent that applies to this race. The logic of 2017 would suggest that the most nominations wins and it's really about creating a world rather than one specific, memorable effect. The logic of 2015 would suggest that the most nominations doesn't matter, creating a world isn't more important than creating one, specific memorable effect. Meanwhile, the logic of 2016 would suggest that the most nominations don't matter and also we're down to nominate cartoons. Who does any of this favor?
It could go any which way. So.. what did they see? What did they like? Sure, they saw First Man but I'm really not sure how much they liked it and also one does have to wait until the first half hour to get to the effect. Christopher Robin is probably more in the race than people think simply by virtue of being a family film that voters can watch with their children and for being the sole family film in the race (I also have it in my Oscar pool). But as of now, I'm just guessing Avengers Infinity War based on the fact that Thanos is a pretty remarkable CGI creation.