Re: Oscar Distribution
Posted: Sat Feb 04, 2017 4:49 pm
ARRIVAL -- nothing. Outside shot at Adapted Screenplay. Runner up in Sound Editing.
FENCES -- lock for Viola Davis. Starting to think that Denzel Washington is going to win Best Actor.
HACKSAW RIDGE -- Best Sound Editing. Just like American Sniper and Letters from Iwo Jima, the consolation sound prize.
HELL OR HIGH WATER -- I thought Jeff Bridges had an outside shot at winning the SAG award for Best Supporting Actor. Why not give him a second award? But that doesn't seem to be materializing. Nothing.
HIDDEN FIGURES -- outside shot at Best Adapted Screenplay. I'm not completely sold on Moonlight's grip on that award as it's so clearly a director's movie. Arrival or Hidden Figures could take it in that scenario.
LA LA LAND -- Picture, Director, Actress, Score, Song, Cinematography, Film Editing, and Sound Mixing for sure. Original Screenplay, Production Design, and Costume Design likely.
LION -- Maybe an outside shot at Best Adapted Screenplay. Most likely goes home empty-handed.
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA -- for the bulk of the year, it seemed like it had two of the biggest locks of the year. Best Actor and Best Original Screenplay. Now, I think both are coin flips.
MOONLIGHT -- Mahershala Ali will win Best Supporting Actor. I am not sold on its Best Adapted Screenplay choices but support has yet to materialize around another contender as has happened in Best Actor against Casey Affleck.
FENCES -- lock for Viola Davis. Starting to think that Denzel Washington is going to win Best Actor.
HACKSAW RIDGE -- Best Sound Editing. Just like American Sniper and Letters from Iwo Jima, the consolation sound prize.
HELL OR HIGH WATER -- I thought Jeff Bridges had an outside shot at winning the SAG award for Best Supporting Actor. Why not give him a second award? But that doesn't seem to be materializing. Nothing.
HIDDEN FIGURES -- outside shot at Best Adapted Screenplay. I'm not completely sold on Moonlight's grip on that award as it's so clearly a director's movie. Arrival or Hidden Figures could take it in that scenario.
LA LA LAND -- Picture, Director, Actress, Score, Song, Cinematography, Film Editing, and Sound Mixing for sure. Original Screenplay, Production Design, and Costume Design likely.
LION -- Maybe an outside shot at Best Adapted Screenplay. Most likely goes home empty-handed.
MANCHESTER BY THE SEA -- for the bulk of the year, it seemed like it had two of the biggest locks of the year. Best Actor and Best Original Screenplay. Now, I think both are coin flips.
MOONLIGHT -- Mahershala Ali will win Best Supporting Actor. I am not sold on its Best Adapted Screenplay choices but support has yet to materialize around another contender as has happened in Best Actor against Casey Affleck.