Of course it could be - and I'd never say that Glenn Close has by now already won her Oscar.Mister Tee wrote: You guys are doing a ton of jumping ahead, presuming Close has already locked away subsequent awards. Let's wait and see. This could be a Globes-only sentimental choice. Which Burton turned out to be.
Still, what I feel is that - on this board especially - there is rather a sort-of (inexplicable) resistance to the idea of such a great actress finally getting an Oscar. And for a performance which - despite what this board collectively thinks - is not bad, not bad at all. Not as great as other Close's performances maybe, and in a little, unmemorable movie - but still a performance by one of the greatest living American actresses (and not her worst nominated turn either, by the way). Glenn Close even not at her best is much, much better than Lady Gaga at her best, still surprisingly here, especially before the Globes, most seemed to be rooting for Lady Gaga (someone even changed his judgement of her performance in A Star Is Born, from bad to positive, probably fearing to be out of sync with the "big" prizes).
But of course, if the Globes - which in theory would be "the" place for a Lady Gaga win - have chosen a different solution, the more selective, pickier Academy (years ago they didn't even nominate Madonna for Evita) will probably do the same. They have a way to still honor her (Best Song) and avoid an honestly embarassing outcome.
As for A Star is Born in general, I've always felt that it's a story tailor-made for Americans, which may partly explain why the Globes almost completely ignored it. Yet, of course, it's not like Bohemian Rhapsody is a much better - or more subtle - effort. At least there is now an alternative to Badley Cooper for the Oscar, which admittedly will make the Best Actor race more interesting (though not one where I will find someone to especially root for). I will see Vice tomorrow, but it's not like a Best Actor in a Comedy Globe has always been such a foolproof Oscar precursor...