Personally I think The Post looks fucking boring, I expect above-the-line nominations out of respect for its topicality and the talent involved, but I don't think Streep will get in in a competitive category and I think Hanks (who looks terrible in the trailer) probably won't have the support to break a rarefied field that is nevertheless populated with passion-driven contenders in smaller actors' vehicles.flipp525 wrote:Early word from the first screening of The Post last night says that only Streep and Hanks have enough to do in the film to warrant awards attention. There also seems to be a “haven’t we seen this before?” kind of response to the film. I see a respectful response given the timely subject matter and maybe a few acting nominations could be in the cards, but a huge haul is probably not (and no way is it going to win Best Picture). Also, Tom Hanks has a bad wig!BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Bob Odenkirk (The Post)
Supporting Actor is such a bloodbath though I'd totally expect them to throw a bone to someone like Odenkirk. He has one "fun" line in the trailer, he plays the supporting character most featured in the script, and they did give do-nothing nominations to Ruffalo (bad) and McAdams (egregious) for Spotlight. And Ruffalo's category was insanely competitive that year - they snubbed Jacob Tremblay for him, and Tremblay would have won!
This year is baffling. It's exciting! But the one thing that would spoil it would be trifecta nominations for The Post and The Shape of Water. I love Hawkins and support her nomination but we don't need coattails for Jenkins or Shannon in audience surrogate and poorly-reviewed villain roles nor Spencer (bless her heart) playing another regressive stereotype without superlative reviews backing it up, especially when there are so many different interesting performances in the mix in both categories, albeit contending more competitively in Supporting Actress. And I'm not here for Hanks and Streep nominations for what look like phoned-in performances in a prefab DNC-liberal comfort blanket movie cynically churned out within the span of ten months simply to capitalise on today's political anxiety. They've done great things but I'm just hoping Hanks, Streep and Spielberg consider retirement and let some young turks come up and change the face of the Academy and its legacy, lol.