Final Oscar Predictions
- Sonic Youth
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
For all the abuse Magilla took from us, he should assign an appropriate punishment for each of us such as a day of shame and humiliation.
"What the hell?"
Win Butler
Win Butler
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
No fricking way...damn Daldry film, and who wanted the no guts no glory no Brooks pick?
Well done.
Tree of Life!!!
Well done.
Tree of Life!!!
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Oh my god. Did they save that nomination for last on purpose?
- OscarGuy
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Holy shit.
Wesley Lovell
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Anna Paquin for Margaret is my no guts, no glory nomination.
"The mantle of spinsterhood was definitely in her shoulders. She was twenty five and looked it."
-Gone With the Wind by Margaret Mitchell
-Gone With the Wind by Margaret Mitchell
- Sonic Youth
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
All hail Magilla.
And I'm retiring from the predictions business.
And I'm retiring from the predictions business.
Last edited by Sonic Youth on Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
"What the hell?"
Win Butler
Win Butler
- Sonic Youth
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
You've heard of vote-splitting, right? This will be the Oscar's first instance of vote-fusing.Reza wrote:But this sort of double nomination went out with the likes of Garbo and Norma Shearer!!Sonic Youth wrote:Best Actor
George Clooney
George Clooney
Replace with Dujardin, and blame it on my getting home really late last night.
"What the hell?"
Win Butler
Win Butler
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Picture:
Artist
Descendants
Ides of March
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Surprise nom: Tree of Life or Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Director
Allen
Hazanavicius
Malick
Scorsese
Spielberg
Surprise nom: Refn or Clooney
Actor:
Clooney
Dujardin
Fassbender
Oldman
Pitt
Surprise nom: Gosling, Gleeson or Wilson
Actress:
Davis
Mara
Streep
Swinton
Williams
Surprise nom: Close or Olsen
Supp. Actor:
Branagh
Brooks
Hill
Nolte
Plummer
Surprise nom: Pitt or Stoll, maybe Kingsley
Supp. Actress:
Bejo
Chastain
McTeer
Spencer
Woodley
Surprise nom: Mulligan or McCarthy
Original Screenplay
50/50
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Surprise nom: Rango, Martha Marcy May Marlene or Young Adult
Adapted Screenplay:
Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Surprise nom: War Horse or Jane Eyre
Art Direction:
The Artist
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
The Help
Hugo
War Horse
Surprise nom: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy or Tree of Life
Cinematography:
The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Tree of Life
War Horse
Surprise nom: Girl with the Dragon Tattoo or Midnight in Paris
Costume Design:
The Artist
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
Hugo
Jane Eyre
Surprise nom: Anonymous or Immortals
Film Editing:
The Artist
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
Super 8
Surprise nom: Drive or War Horse
Original Score:
The Adventures of Tintin
The Artist
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
Hugo
War Horse
Surprise nom: Drive or Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Song:
"Life's a Happy Song" Muppets
"Living Proof" Help
"Think You Can Wait" Win Win
Surprise nom: "So Long" Winnie the pooh or "Take Shelter" Take Shelter
Sound (either category):
Captain America
Hugo
Super 8
Transformers 3
War Horse
Surprise nom: Drive or The Artist
Visual Effects:
Captain America
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
Transformers 3
Surprise nom: Tree of Life
Animated Filml:
Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chita & Rico
Puss in Boots
Rango
Surprise nom: Cars 2
Artist
Descendants
Ides of March
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Surprise nom: Tree of Life or Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Director
Allen
Hazanavicius
Malick
Scorsese
Spielberg
Surprise nom: Refn or Clooney
Actor:
Clooney
Dujardin
Fassbender
Oldman
Pitt
Surprise nom: Gosling, Gleeson or Wilson
Actress:
Davis
Mara
Streep
Swinton
Williams
Surprise nom: Close or Olsen
Supp. Actor:
Branagh
Brooks
Hill
Nolte
Plummer
Surprise nom: Pitt or Stoll, maybe Kingsley
Supp. Actress:
Bejo
Chastain
McTeer
Spencer
Woodley
Surprise nom: Mulligan or McCarthy
Original Screenplay
50/50
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Surprise nom: Rango, Martha Marcy May Marlene or Young Adult
Adapted Screenplay:
Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Surprise nom: War Horse or Jane Eyre
Art Direction:
The Artist
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
The Help
Hugo
War Horse
Surprise nom: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy or Tree of Life
Cinematography:
The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Tree of Life
War Horse
Surprise nom: Girl with the Dragon Tattoo or Midnight in Paris
Costume Design:
The Artist
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
Hugo
Jane Eyre
Surprise nom: Anonymous or Immortals
Film Editing:
The Artist
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
Super 8
Surprise nom: Drive or War Horse
Original Score:
The Adventures of Tintin
The Artist
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
Hugo
War Horse
Surprise nom: Drive or Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Song:
"Life's a Happy Song" Muppets
"Living Proof" Help
"Think You Can Wait" Win Win
Surprise nom: "So Long" Winnie the pooh or "Take Shelter" Take Shelter
Sound (either category):
Captain America
Hugo
Super 8
Transformers 3
War Horse
Surprise nom: Drive or The Artist
Visual Effects:
Captain America
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
Transformers 3
Surprise nom: Tree of Life
Animated Filml:
Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chita & Rico
Puss in Boots
Rango
Surprise nom: Cars 2
"Because here’s the thing about life: There’s no accounting for what fate will deal you. Some days when you need a hand. There are other days when we’re called to lend a hand." -- President Joe Biden, 01/20/2021
- OscarGuy
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
It's because the Academy has a rule against a single actor receiving more than one nomination in a single category.Reza wrote:But this sort of double nomination went out with the likes of Garbo and Norma Shearer!!Sonic Youth wrote:Best Actor
George Clooney
George Clooney
Wesley Lovell
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
In the realm of No Guts No Glory, I have a few oddballs, yet possibilities:
1. There are ten Best Picture nominees, and one of them is My Week With Marilyn.
2. Jessica Chastain gets no nomination.
3. There are only two Best Song nominees, both from The Muppets.
4. Shame and The Iron Lady, and Moneyball and The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo are all nominated for
Screenplay, causing each race to have two of the same screenwriters.
5. Margaret somehows gets a below the line nod, like Editing.
1. There are ten Best Picture nominees, and one of them is My Week With Marilyn.
2. Jessica Chastain gets no nomination.
3. There are only two Best Song nominees, both from The Muppets.
4. Shame and The Iron Lady, and Moneyball and The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo are all nominated for
Screenplay, causing each race to have two of the same screenwriters.
5. Margaret somehows gets a below the line nod, like Editing.
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
But this sort of double nomination went out with the likes of Garbo and Norma Shearer!!Sonic Youth wrote:Best Actor
George Clooney
George Clooney
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Best Picture:
The Artist
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
...and if there are more than five nominees (in order):
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
A Separation
War Horse
The Tree of Life
Actor:
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Actress:
Viola Davis, The Help
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Supporting Actor:
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Patton Oswalt, Young Adult
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Supporting Actress:
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Director:
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Best Original Screenplay
The Artist
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Win Win
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Help
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
We Need to Talk About Kevin
Best Original Score
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Best Song
''Lay Your Head Down'' - Albert Nobbs
''Life's a Happy Song'' - The Muppets
''The Living Proof'' - The Help
''Pictures in my Head'' - The Muppets
''Star Spangled Man'' - Captain America - The First Avenger
Best Editing
The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Best Cinematography
The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Best Art Direction
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Best Costume Design
Anonymous
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Best Makeup
The Artist
The Iron Lady
J. Edgar
Best Sound Mixing
The Adventures of Tintin
Hugo
Mission Impossible 3 - Ghost Protocol
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
War Horse
Best Sound Editing
The Adventures of Tintin
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
War Horse
Best Visual Effects
Captain America: The First Avenger
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
The Tree of Life
Best Foreign Film
In Darkness
Omar Killed Me
Pina
A Separation
Warriors of the Rainbow
Best Documentary Feature
Page One: Inside the New York Times
Pina
Project Nim
Tabloid
We Were Here
The Artist
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
...and if there are more than five nominees (in order):
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
A Separation
War Horse
The Tree of Life
Actor:
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Actress:
Viola Davis, The Help
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Supporting Actor:
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Patton Oswalt, Young Adult
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Supporting Actress:
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Director:
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Best Original Screenplay
The Artist
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Win Win
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Help
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
We Need to Talk About Kevin
Best Original Score
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Best Song
''Lay Your Head Down'' - Albert Nobbs
''Life's a Happy Song'' - The Muppets
''The Living Proof'' - The Help
''Pictures in my Head'' - The Muppets
''Star Spangled Man'' - Captain America - The First Avenger
Best Editing
The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Best Cinematography
The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Best Art Direction
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
Best Costume Design
Anonymous
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Best Makeup
The Artist
The Iron Lady
J. Edgar
Best Sound Mixing
The Adventures of Tintin
Hugo
Mission Impossible 3 - Ghost Protocol
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
War Horse
Best Sound Editing
The Adventures of Tintin
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
War Horse
Best Visual Effects
Captain America: The First Avenger
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
The Tree of Life
Best Foreign Film
In Darkness
Omar Killed Me
Pina
A Separation
Warriors of the Rainbow
Best Documentary Feature
Page One: Inside the New York Times
Pina
Project Nim
Tabloid
We Were Here
- Sonic Youth
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
I'm just doing the major categories.
No guts, no glory: Michael Shannon for Best Actor; The Help not nominated for Best Picture if only five nominees; Jessica Chastain is snubbed; no Malick for Best Director; no TTSS for major categories.
Biggest Surprise I can't bring myself to predict: Bennett Miller for Best Director.
Best Picture
The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
Moneyball
Midnight in Paris
...
6. The Help
7. The Girl With the Dragon Tatoo
8. Bridesmaids
9. War Horse
10. The Tree of Life
Best Director
Woody Allen
David Fincher
Michael Hazanavicius
Alexander Payne
Martin Scorsese
Best Actor
George Clooney
George Clooney
Michael Fassbender
Brad Pitt
Michael Shannon
Best Actress
Glenn Close
Viola Davis
Meryl Streep
Tilda Swinton
Michelle Williams
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh
Albert Brooks
Jonah Hill
Nick Nolte
Christopher Plummer
Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo
Melissa McCarthy
Janet McTeer
Octavia Spencer
Shailene Woodley
Best Original Screenplay
The Artist
Bridesmaids
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
No guts, no glory: Michael Shannon for Best Actor; The Help not nominated for Best Picture if only five nominees; Jessica Chastain is snubbed; no Malick for Best Director; no TTSS for major categories.
Biggest Surprise I can't bring myself to predict: Bennett Miller for Best Director.
Best Picture
The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
Moneyball
Midnight in Paris
...
6. The Help
7. The Girl With the Dragon Tatoo
8. Bridesmaids
9. War Horse
10. The Tree of Life
Best Director
Woody Allen
David Fincher
Michael Hazanavicius
Alexander Payne
Martin Scorsese
Best Actor
George Clooney
George Clooney
Michael Fassbender
Brad Pitt
Michael Shannon
Best Actress
Glenn Close
Viola Davis
Meryl Streep
Tilda Swinton
Michelle Williams
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh
Albert Brooks
Jonah Hill
Nick Nolte
Christopher Plummer
Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo
Melissa McCarthy
Janet McTeer
Octavia Spencer
Shailene Woodley
Best Original Screenplay
The Artist
Bridesmaids
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
"What the hell?"
Win Butler
Win Butler
- rolotomasi99
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
I already did my serious predictions in another thread. Now I want to do my No Guts, No Glory predictions. With all the precursors we are rarely confronted with a genuine surprise nominee. For every category, we have our five nominees and then at least five more alternatives. However, in honor of SAG's nomination of Demian Bichir in A BETTER LIFE, I wanted to just throw out some truly alternative Oscar predictions. All of these nominees would be surprising but are still realistic (no acting nomination for Adam Sandler or something like that). I would love to see what out there Oscar nominations other folks are willing to predict. Think of the bragging rights you can have tomorrow morning if you get it right.
BEST PICTURE
We Need To Talk About Kevin
DIRECTOR
We Need To Talk About Kevin
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
We Need To Talk About Kevin
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Contagion
LEAD ACTOR
Joseph Gordon Levitt - 50/50
LEAD ACTRESS
Mia Wasikowska - Jane Eyre
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ezra Miller - We Need To Talk About Kevin
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - Hanna
EDITING
Source Code
CINEMATOGRAPHY
In Time
SET
Immortals
COSTUME
Immortals
SCORE
Hanna
SOUND
Rango
SOUND EDITING
Rango
BEST PICTURE
We Need To Talk About Kevin
DIRECTOR
We Need To Talk About Kevin
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
We Need To Talk About Kevin
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Contagion
LEAD ACTOR
Joseph Gordon Levitt - 50/50
LEAD ACTRESS
Mia Wasikowska - Jane Eyre
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ezra Miller - We Need To Talk About Kevin
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - Hanna
EDITING
Source Code
CINEMATOGRAPHY
In Time
SET
Immortals
COSTUME
Immortals
SCORE
Hanna
SOUND
Rango
SOUND EDITING
Rango
"When it comes to the subject of torture, I trust a woman who was married to James Cameron for three years."
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
BEST PICTURE
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
BEST DIRECTOR
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
BEST ACTRESS
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive (*)
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
*...but I REALLY wanted to go out on a limb and predict this snub, cause I think it could happen, Buscemi/Sarsgaard-style.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Bérénice LEAD, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Carey Mulligan, Shame (*)
Octavia Spencer, The Help
*...I know, I know, she's not gonna get nominated. But McTeer, McCarthy, and Woodley all strike me as being a lot more vulnerable than some think, and in crowded races, surprising inclusions/exclusions can often happen, so I can at least dream until tomorrow... #pleaseOscardontfailme
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Artist
Bridesmaids
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Footnote
In Darkness
Omar Killed Me
Pina
A Separation
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The Loving Story
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Pina
Project Nim
We Were Here
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chico & Rita
Puss in Boots
Rango
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
The Keeper, Machine Gun Preacher
Lay Your Head Down, Albert Nobbs
Life's a Happy Song, The Muppets
The Living Proof, The Help
Star Spangled Man, Captain America: The First Avenger
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Jane Eyre
W.E.
BEST MAKEUP
The Artist
Hugo
The Iron Lady
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse
BEST FILM EDITING
The Artist
Drive
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
BEST SOUND MIXING
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse
BEST SOUND EDITING
The Adventures of Tintin
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Whatever the Hell It's Called
The Tree of Life
...and I'm not even going to take a blind stab at the shorts. See y'all tomorrow!
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
BEST DIRECTOR
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
BEST ACTRESS
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive (*)
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
*...but I REALLY wanted to go out on a limb and predict this snub, cause I think it could happen, Buscemi/Sarsgaard-style.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Bérénice LEAD, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Carey Mulligan, Shame (*)
Octavia Spencer, The Help
*...I know, I know, she's not gonna get nominated. But McTeer, McCarthy, and Woodley all strike me as being a lot more vulnerable than some think, and in crowded races, surprising inclusions/exclusions can often happen, so I can at least dream until tomorrow... #pleaseOscardontfailme
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Artist
Bridesmaids
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Footnote
In Darkness
Omar Killed Me
Pina
A Separation
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The Loving Story
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Pina
Project Nim
We Were Here
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chico & Rita
Puss in Boots
Rango
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
The Keeper, Machine Gun Preacher
Lay Your Head Down, Albert Nobbs
Life's a Happy Song, The Muppets
The Living Proof, The Help
Star Spangled Man, Captain America: The First Avenger
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Jane Eyre
W.E.
BEST MAKEUP
The Artist
Hugo
The Iron Lady
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse
BEST FILM EDITING
The Artist
Drive
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
BEST SOUND MIXING
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse
BEST SOUND EDITING
The Adventures of Tintin
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Whatever the Hell It's Called
The Tree of Life
...and I'm not even going to take a blind stab at the shorts. See y'all tomorrow!