Re: LAFCA Winners
Posted: Sun Dec 08, 2013 6:06 pm
Would you have guessed a week ago that 12 Years a Slave would get its only best picture recognition from Boston and the Internet crowd? That's not necessarily a bad thing -- it's the Slumdog Millionaire coalition -- but that's not the route to Oscar you'd expect "the Schindler's List of slavery" to be taking.
Actually, 12 Years has been justlosing many places -- according to Glenn Whipp, it and Nebraska barely missed the runoff at LA, and of course it only lost by a little in NY. Is there deliberate ganging up on it, or are there simply other films with slightly higher levels of support? (And what a widespread field -- Hustle in NY, Wolf finishing second in Boston, Inside Llewyn Davis in the mix just about everywhere)
The folks at the other sites, for whom all groups carry equal weight, think Chiwetel had a great weekend because he won the two online groups; for the rest of us, it's lucky he won Boston, as his only real claim to contention. Dern and Redford are making strong runs.
For Blanchett, managing the tie even in subtitle-lovin' LA is close to a win. I'm not sure about Exarchopuoulos' chances at riding this to an Oscar nod. I'd say her trek has become more difficult with the emergence of Amy Adams as possibility; if she were the only youngster in the pack, she'd have an easier time.
Leto is still running ahead, but not steamrolling the way Blanchett is.
Supporting actress looks like it could stay undecided right till the end.
Inside Llewyn Davis won (deservedly) every music award given out today, but will of course be ineligible for an Oscar nod. This is the rare year when you wish they still had the song score category (which they eliminated after Prince won).
Gravity overcame at least some critics' misgivings about its CGI to win cinematography, which should ease an already pretty direct path to the Oscars. But Inside llewyn Davis is a hell of a competitor -- shots like Llewyn hitchhiking in the fog are pretty stunning.
Actually, 12 Years has been justlosing many places -- according to Glenn Whipp, it and Nebraska barely missed the runoff at LA, and of course it only lost by a little in NY. Is there deliberate ganging up on it, or are there simply other films with slightly higher levels of support? (And what a widespread field -- Hustle in NY, Wolf finishing second in Boston, Inside Llewyn Davis in the mix just about everywhere)
The folks at the other sites, for whom all groups carry equal weight, think Chiwetel had a great weekend because he won the two online groups; for the rest of us, it's lucky he won Boston, as his only real claim to contention. Dern and Redford are making strong runs.
For Blanchett, managing the tie even in subtitle-lovin' LA is close to a win. I'm not sure about Exarchopuoulos' chances at riding this to an Oscar nod. I'd say her trek has become more difficult with the emergence of Amy Adams as possibility; if she were the only youngster in the pack, she'd have an easier time.
Leto is still running ahead, but not steamrolling the way Blanchett is.
Supporting actress looks like it could stay undecided right till the end.
Inside Llewyn Davis won (deservedly) every music award given out today, but will of course be ineligible for an Oscar nod. This is the rare year when you wish they still had the song score category (which they eliminated after Prince won).
Gravity overcame at least some critics' misgivings about its CGI to win cinematography, which should ease an already pretty direct path to the Oscars. But Inside llewyn Davis is a hell of a competitor -- shots like Llewyn hitchhiking in the fog are pretty stunning.