Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Posted: Mon Jan 23, 2012 6:28 pm
Got a 78%. Unless you subtract getting the number of nominations wrong (- for War Horse/Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close) or predicting five wrong Best Original Song nominations and failing to get one of the two (-3), then it's a 73%.
BEST PICTURE -- 7/8 AND Missed - one (War Horse/Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
BEST DIRECTOR -- 5/5
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
BEST ACTOR -- 3/5
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
BEST ACTRESS -- 4/5
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR -- 4/5
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Cory Stall, Midnight in Paris
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS -- 5/5
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY -- 4/5
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Asghar Farhadi, A Separation
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Thomas McCarthy, Win Win
Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY -- 4/5
John Logan, Hugo
Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan, Tinker Tailer Soldier Spy
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon & Jim Rash, The Descendants
Aaron Sorkin and Steve Zaillian, Moneyball
Tate Taylor, The Help
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE -- 4/5
Ludovic Bource, The Artist
Alberto Iglesias, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Howard Shore, Hugo
John Williams, War Horse
BEST ORIGINAL SONG -- 0/2 (fuck you, stupid category!)
“Hello Hello”, Gnomeo and Juliet
“Lay Your Head Down”, Albert Nobbs
“Life’s a Happy Song”, The Muppets
“The Living Proof”, The Help
“Pictures in My Head”, The Muppets
BEST ANIMATED FILM -- 4/5
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chico & Rita
Puss in Boots
Rango
BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM -- 3/5
Footnote [Israel]
In Darkness [Poland]
Pina [Germany]
A Separation [Iran]
Superclásico [Denmark]
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY -- 5/5
Jeff Cronenweth, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Janusz Kaminski, War Horse
Emmanuel Lubeszki, The Tree of Life
Robert Richardson, Hugo
Guillame Schiffman, The Artist
BEST FILM EDITING -- 3/5
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
War Horse
BEST ART DIRECTION -- 4/5
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
BEST COSTUME DESIGN -- 4/5
Anonymous
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Jane Eyre
BEST MAKEUP -- 1/3
Anonymous
Gainsborough: A Heroic Life
The Iron Lady
BEST SOUND MIXING -- 2/5
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse
BEST SOUND EFFECTS -- 2/5
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS -- 4/5
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Pt 2
Hugo
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
TALLIES
9: The Artist, Hugo
7: The Help
5: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Moneyball
4: The Descendants, Midnight in Paris
3: The Tree of Life
BEST PICTURE -- 7/8 AND Missed - one (War Horse/Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
BEST DIRECTOR -- 5/5
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
BEST ACTOR -- 3/5
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
BEST ACTRESS -- 4/5
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR -- 4/5
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Cory Stall, Midnight in Paris
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS -- 5/5
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY -- 4/5
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Asghar Farhadi, A Separation
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Thomas McCarthy, Win Win
Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY -- 4/5
John Logan, Hugo
Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan, Tinker Tailer Soldier Spy
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon & Jim Rash, The Descendants
Aaron Sorkin and Steve Zaillian, Moneyball
Tate Taylor, The Help
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE -- 4/5
Ludovic Bource, The Artist
Alberto Iglesias, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Howard Shore, Hugo
John Williams, War Horse
BEST ORIGINAL SONG -- 0/2 (fuck you, stupid category!)
“Hello Hello”, Gnomeo and Juliet
“Lay Your Head Down”, Albert Nobbs
“Life’s a Happy Song”, The Muppets
“The Living Proof”, The Help
“Pictures in My Head”, The Muppets
BEST ANIMATED FILM -- 4/5
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chico & Rita
Puss in Boots
Rango
BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM -- 3/5
Footnote [Israel]
In Darkness [Poland]
Pina [Germany]
A Separation [Iran]
Superclásico [Denmark]
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY -- 5/5
Jeff Cronenweth, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Janusz Kaminski, War Horse
Emmanuel Lubeszki, The Tree of Life
Robert Richardson, Hugo
Guillame Schiffman, The Artist
BEST FILM EDITING -- 3/5
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
War Horse
BEST ART DIRECTION -- 4/5
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse
BEST COSTUME DESIGN -- 4/5
Anonymous
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Jane Eyre
BEST MAKEUP -- 1/3
Anonymous
Gainsborough: A Heroic Life
The Iron Lady
BEST SOUND MIXING -- 2/5
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse
BEST SOUND EFFECTS -- 2/5
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS -- 4/5
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Pt 2
Hugo
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
TALLIES
9: The Artist, Hugo
7: The Help
5: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Moneyball
4: The Descendants, Midnight in Paris
3: The Tree of Life