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Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 7:39 am
by Hollywood Z
The people that would like to say 0% chance of winning are the jaded champions of nominees that didn't make the cut and choices they wouldn't have picked made the final five. Remember, there are some Oscar elitists around here who would like nothing but avant garde nominees without realizing that the awards are the industry's way of awarding the people and movies that appeal to them.
Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 3:52 am
by Akash
Plus, as long as you're NOMINATED, you logically have at least a 1% chance. You only have no chance if you're...you know...not nominated. That's why it's so tiresome when unexpected winners say, "I had no idea! I had nothing prepared! This is shocking!"
Um...you were one out of five, genius. You had a one in five chance as opposed to say everyone else who wasn't fricking nominated. It's not that shocking. Prepare something.
Edited By Akash on 1203324765
Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 3:33 am
by Heksagon
If I remember correctly, the percentage points are not chances of winning, but estimates of the share of votes each nominee will receive.
Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 9:05 pm
by Hustler
dreaMaker wrote:barrybrooks8 wrote:(or course, after giving James Coburn a 20-1 chance to win a few years ago probably has them a little gunshy, but still, come on, Reitman?)
I thought Reitman has got 0% chances to be even nominated...
You´ve introduced an interesting point here. Personally, I don´t think someone has got 0% chances at all. It would be useful to establish this poll here so we could have more elements to debate about that matter. What do you think Wes?
Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 11:26 am
by dreaMaker
barrybrooks8 wrote:(or course, after giving James Coburn a 20-1 chance to win a few years ago probably has them a little gunshy, but still, come on, Reitman?)
I thought Reitman has got 0% chances to be even nominated...
Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 2:55 am
by barrybrooks8
Why is EW so afraid to give something or someone a 0% chance? Everything/one got at least 5, and there are some choices that merit a goose-egg: Jason Reitman, Viggo Mortenson, Cate Blanchett for Elizabeth, and Philip Seymour Hoffman. (or course, after giving James Coburn a 20-1 chance to win a few years ago probably has them a little gunshy, but still, come on, Reitman?)
Posted: Fri Feb 15, 2008 9:08 pm
by Hustler
Heksagon wrote:Big Magilla wrote:Julian Schnabel - 30%
There is no way that this is accurate.
He´s very appreciated in Hollywood.
Posted: Fri Feb 15, 2008 5:08 pm
by Heksagon
Big Magilla wrote:Julian Schnabel - 30%
There is no way that this is accurate.
Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2008 5:52 pm
by Hustler
Wow! Swinton leads!
As for Michael Clayton, it´s hard to believe that this film seconds NCFOM. I would have thought that TWBB was the second favorite.
Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2008 5:45 pm
by Big Magilla
Best Picture
No Country - 30%
Michael Clayton - 25%
There Will Be Blood - 20%
Juno - 15%
Atonement - 10%
Actor
Daniel Day-Lews - 40%
George Clooney - 25%
Tommy Lee Jones - 15%
Johnny Depp - 10%
Viggo Mortensen - 10%
Actress
Julie Christie - 33%
Ellen Page - 27%
Marion Cotillard - 25%
Laura Linney - 10%
Cate Blanchett - 5%
Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem - 40%
Hal Holbrook - 25%
Tom wilkinson - 25%
Casey Affleck - 5%
Philip Seymour Hoffman - 5%
Supporting Actress
Tilda Swinton - 28%
Amy Ryan - 25%
Cate Blacnhett - 22%
Ruby Dee - 20%
Saoirse Ronan - 5%
Director
Jole & Ethan Coen - 35%
Julian Schnabel - 30%
Paul Thomas Anderson - 20%
Tony Gilroy - 10%
Jason Reitman - 5%