Okay, sure. It's 2008, but still... someone's gonna start that contest any second and I can't wait until then. (I'm going to be incommunicado for a bit.)
My second-to-final predictions:
Picture
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Juno
*No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Into the Wild/Michael Clayton
It would seem those last two do have industry love behind them. But I'm not willing to give up my "Diving Bell" prediction yet.
Director
Paul Thomas Anderson
*Coen Bros.
Sean Penn
Julien Schnabel
David Cronenberg/Tony Gilroy
The 'fifth slot' depends on Michael Clayton's Best Picture inclusion. Sean Penn's getting in regardless. Hey, I SAID these weren't final.
Lead Actor
George Clooney
*Daniel Day Lewis
Ryan Gosling
Emile Hirsch
Viggo Mortenson
Lead Actress
Cate Blanchett
*Julie Christie
Marion Cotillard
Angelina Jolie
Ellen Page
Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck
*Javier Bardem
Hal Holbrook
Tommy Lee Jones
Tom Wilkinson
Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett
Ruby Dee
Catherine Keener
*Amy Ryan
Tilda Swinton
Original Screenplay
*Juno
Knocked Up**
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
The Savages
**Actually, it will be Before the Devil Knows You're Dead. But I did bring up the possibility last winter, and it'd be beyond faboo were I to be so far-reaching in my prescience.
Adapted Screenplay
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
*No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac
Edited By Sonic Youth on 1200092996
Final 2007 Predictions
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Sonic Youth
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OscarGuy wrote:I wonder if the recent surge in cinematographical distinctiveness is a rebellion by DPs against the advent/revolution of digital cinema. They may be churning out their best work just to avoid the desire by some studios to take the cheaper route.
I think you're spot on about this. Although I think it's high time DPs start turning their magic toward digital cinema. It's not that the digital camera can't do amazing things; this kind of camera just needs a good artist at the helm.
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rolotomasi99
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Eric wrote:rolotomasi99 wrote:2005
BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
THE NEW WORLD
I find it hard to believe anyone would rank anything above The New World in this category (and I didn't even like the movie all that much), but in particular not Brokeback.
believe me, i go back and forth between those two all the time. everytime i look at my list of oscar picks, i switch which one is on top (no pun intended).
THE NEW WORLD has amazing cinematography. its use of light and shadow were quite amazing.
BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN has some of the most beautiful composition and framing i have seen in a film in a very long time. the cinematography does not come off well on t.v., but on the big screen it was gorgeous. a good example of many perfect shots is the scene where heath gets in a fight with the drunks at the 4th of july picnic, right after he has punched the guys and the fireworks go off -- the shot is amazing. it is used as the final image in the trailer.
i loved CHILDREN OF MEN's cinematography because it had some of the best camera movement i had ever seen. movement is good, but sometimes planting the camera in just the right spot should be admired as well. it is certainly why i think ZODIAC had some of the best cinematography of the year. fincher usually moves his camera around in very flashy ways (through key holes in PANIC ROOM), but this time he had the good sense to let the camera sit still in just the right place and perfectly frame the actors and action. TOKYO STORY is another great example of perfect framing and composition.
i like a film with pretty colors as much as the next person, but MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA, AMISTAD, THE PATRIOT, etc. can flood the screen with too much color sometimes. it reminds me of being in a candy store, it may look pretty but does not have much substance to it.
Edited By rolotomasi99 on 1198787864
"When it comes to the subject of torture, I trust a woman who was married to James Cameron for three years."
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow
Well, you can only imagine what I think of people who do "appreciate" Sondheim.Akash wrote:Penelope wrote:Oh, please; it has nothing whatsoever with being a "fanboy"--honestly, how can you compare the almost painterly exquisite cinematography of Brokeback with the dull, lifeless cinematography of The New World?
Thanks Pen. I feel a lot better now about your inability to appreciate Sondheim :p
"...it is the weak who are cruel, and...gentleness is only to be expected from the strong." - Leo Reston
"Cruelty might be very human, and it might be cultural, but it's not acceptable." - Jodie Foster
"Cruelty might be very human, and it might be cultural, but it's not acceptable." - Jodie Foster
Speaking of which, I had a most interesting dream last night: I saw There Will Be Blood--it was amazing; certainly hope the actually movie can compare to my dream!Okri wrote:Hilary Swank will haunt you in your sleep.
"...it is the weak who are cruel, and...gentleness is only to be expected from the strong." - Leo Reston
"Cruelty might be very human, and it might be cultural, but it's not acceptable." - Jodie Foster
"Cruelty might be very human, and it might be cultural, but it's not acceptable." - Jodie Foster
Thanks Pen. I feel a lot better now about your inability to appreciate Sondheim :pPenelope wrote:Oh, please; it has nothing whatsoever with being a "fanboy"--honestly, how can you compare the almost painterly exquisite cinematography of Brokeback with the dull, lifeless cinematography of The New World?