I... don't know about these.
ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY'S PREDICTIONS:
https://ew.com/2024-oscars-predictions- ... re-8410438
Best Picture
All of Us Strangers
American Fiction
Barbie
The Color Purple
The Holdovers
WINNER: Killers of the Flower Moon
May December
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
As wide-open a race as ever, predicting Best Picture is solely a stats game at the moment. With stacked, cross-branch unifying power building Oppenheimer’s profile as both a crafts monolith and an actors’ dream (three cast members will likely score nods from the Academy’s largest branch), Christopher Nolan’s historical epic feels likeliest to light Oscar voters’ collective fuse — statistically, though, Killers is collecting the most hardware, making this a tight race tipping in Scorsese’s favor for reasons we’ll expand on in the Best Director bracket ahead.
Best Director
Greta Gerwig — Barbie
Yorgos Lanthimos — Poor Things
Christopher Nolan — Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne — The Holdovers
WINNER: Martin Scorsese — Killers of the Flower Moon
Hardly a star-driven vehicle, Oppenheimer’s nearly $1 billion run at the global box solidifies the strength of its director’s name as a ticket-selling entity. Both audiences and industry voters value Nolan’s creative stamp equally, enough to pack theaters en masse — and celebrate his singular vision with consistent awards gold as the race unfolds. But, Scorsese’s success into his twilight years might signal the industry to rally around one of their shining beacons of talent while they still can. It wouldn’t be entirely unjustified, either, as Killers has racked up an impressive haul leading up to the more industry-leaning awards set to announce nominations soon.
Best Actor
WINNER: Bradley Cooper — Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio — Killers of the Flower Moon
Paul Giamatti — The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy — Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright — American Fiction
Maestro’s convoluted script aside, Cooper’s Leonard Bernstein (partial) biopic is an acting masterclass, with director-star Cooper giving one of the best performances of his career as the conflicted composer. The strength of Cooper’s work coupled with a long-overdue narrative (he has a whopping nine unconsummated nominations) should be enough to put him over the top this year.
Best Actress
Fantasia Barrino — The Color Purple
WINNER: Lily Gladstone — Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller — Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan — Maestro
Emma Stone — Poor Things
Morphing from dawdling baby-woman to a full-on, feminist Frankenstein’s monstress, Emma Stone’s work in Poor Things is about as far a cry from her glitzy turn in La La Land as you can get. It’s bold, transformative, shocking, and sees the performer exploring uncharted places both physically and emotionally. In essence, it hooks the heart and the eyes, and that’s a winning combination for Stone in a film that has major Best Picture heat, too — but, Lily Gladstone has swept most of the precursors so far, and, statistically, she’s the one to beat at the moment. That could change once more industry-inclusive awards bodies begin to cast ballots (so far, it’s been mainly critics groups and peripheral cinephile circles voting), as Stone is a more recognizable name. But, talent is talent, and the actors could lift up Gladstone as a vital presence at the front of Scorsese’s epic drama.
Best Supporting Actor
Robert De Niro — Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr. — Oppenheimer
WINNER: Ryan Gosling — Barbie
Charles Melton — May December
Mark Ruffalo — Poor Things
Given Barbie’s themes, it feels a bit cruel to predict, uh, the man behind Ken to be the sole above-the-line winner from Greta Gerwig’s industry-shaking masterwork, but his performance is certainly the biggest (and showiest) of those in contention — plus, he carries goodwill in the industry (he’s already bagged festival honors for this role) and a light overdue narrative that should be Kenough to push him into the winner’s circle.
Best Supporting Actress
Emily Blunt — Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks — The Color Purple
Taraji P. Henson — The Color Purple
Julianne Moore — May December
WINNER: Da’Vine Joy Randolph — The Holdovers
The original Color Purple winning zero Oscars remains one of the biggest embarrassments in Academy history, but Blitz Bazawule’s musical adaptation stands to correct that with two potential nominations in this category — one for Taraji P. Henson, a prior nominee for Benjamin Button, and Orange Is the New Black actress Danielle Brooks, who’s poised to break out on the big screen among the film’s heavy-hitting ensemble. It’s Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers, however, who’s made the biggest splash on the trail so far, scoring nominations (or wins) at every major precursor to date.