Best Film
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
TAR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
The Whale
alts.: Avatar: the Way of Water; The Woman King; Women Talking
With other possibilities, as recounted in the “Last Three” thread.
Best Actor
Austin Butler (Elvis!)
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)
Bill Nighy (Living)
alts.: Tom Hanks (A Man Called Otto); Adam Driver (White Noise)
Honestly think this is wrong, but can’t figure how to make it right.
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett (TAR)
Viola Davis (The Woman King)
Ana de Armas (Blonde)
Danielle Deadwyler (Till)
Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
alts.: Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans); Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You Leo Grande); Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)
The Riseborough thing is the ultimate wild card. The only antecedent I can think of is Sally Kirkland’s 1987 campaign, which improbably paid off.
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brad Pitt (Babylon)
Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
alts.: Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse); Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans); Ben Whishaw (Women Talking)
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
Hong Chau (The Whale)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Jamie Lee Curtis ((Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Dolly DeLeon (Triangle of Sadness)
alts.: Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once); Jessie Buckley (Women Talking); Carey Mulligan (She Said)
With Michelle Williams as zany wild card.
Best Director
Todd Field (TAR)
Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
Daniel Kwan & Daniel (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
S. S. Rajamouli (RRR)
alts.: Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness); Charlotte Wells (Aftersun); Park Chan-wook (Decision to Leave); Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front)
Switched Ostlund and Rajamouli at the very last moment.
Best Adapted Screenplay
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
She Said
The Whale
Women Talking
alts.: White Noise; Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio; Living
Best Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Triangle of Sadness
alts.: Decision to Leave; Aftersun; Elvis
I’m a little startled how many people have defaulted to this 5, considering how much stronger this slate is compared to adaptation.
Best Cinematography
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
The Batman
Empire of Light
Top Gun: Maverick
alts.: Elvis; Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths; RRR
Best Costume Design
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
RRR
alts.: Amsterdam; The Woman King; Don't Worry Darling
Best Production Design
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
alts.: RRR; Everything Everywhere All at Once; Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Best Sound Mixing
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Top Gun: Maverick
alts.: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; Babylon
Best Film Editing
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
TAR
Top Gun: Maverick
alts.: RRR; The Fabelmans; Elvis
Best Score
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
The Fabelmans
Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Women Talking
alts.: All Quiet on the Western Front; Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Visual Effects
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
Top Gun: Maverick
alts.: Thirteen Lives; Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Best Make-up
Amsterdam
The Batman
Blonde
Elvis
The Whale
alts.: All Quiet on the Western Front; Babylon
Best Song
Applause (Tell It like a Woman)
Ciao Papa (Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio)
Hold My Hand (Top Gun: Maverick)
Lift Me Up (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
Naatu Naatu (RRR)
alts.: Carolina (Where the Crawdads Sing); New Body Rhumba (White Noise)
Repeating a comment from last year: Until they veto a Diane Warren obscurity, I’m going to keep predicting her.
Best Foreign Language Film
All Quiet on the Western Front, Germany
Argentina, 1985, Argentina
Close, Belgium
Decision to Leave, South Korea
The Quiet Girl, Ireland
alts.: Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths, Mexico; EO, Poland; Saint Omer, France
This was the hardest one for me to whittle down; I could have had even more alternatives.
Best Animated Feature
The Bad Guys
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
alts.: My Father’s Dragon; Wendell & Wild
Best Documentary Feature
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Descendant
Fire of Love
Navalny
alts.: The Territory ; Moonage Daydream
Final Oscar Predictions
-
Mister Tee
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
BEST PICTURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Todd Field, TÁR
Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick
Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans
---Almost went with the DGA Five, but McDonagh seems like the most likely drop to me. Still think there could be a big surprise here.
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
---Something is still not working here.
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
---If Williams bumps down to Support (or even not), as I'm predicting, I think Riseborough has a shot, but I also think her momentum may have been a little late.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
---Most unsure on Redmayne, but more unsure on any alternatives.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
---Think only Condon is locked in and still think there is a very real shot that Bassett misses, but I can't think of a viable alternative.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
She Said
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Fabelmans
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
She Said
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever / “Lift Me Up”
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio / “Ciao Papa”
RRR / “Naatu Naatu”
Spirited / “Good Afternoon”
Top Gun: Maverick / “Hold My Hand”
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes
Last Flight Home
Moonage Daydream
Navalny
Retrograde
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Close
EO
The Quiet Girl
Saint Omer
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
Wendell & Wild
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Elvis
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST FILM EDITING
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Corsage
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
BEST MAKEUP
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Batman
Elvis
The Whale
BEST SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Moonage Daydream
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Avatar: The Way of Water
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
Jurassic World: Dominion
Thirteen Lives
Top Gun: Maverick
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Todd Field, TÁR
Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick
Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans
---Almost went with the DGA Five, but McDonagh seems like the most likely drop to me. Still think there could be a big surprise here.
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
---Something is still not working here.
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
---If Williams bumps down to Support (or even not), as I'm predicting, I think Riseborough has a shot, but I also think her momentum may have been a little late.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
---Most unsure on Redmayne, but more unsure on any alternatives.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
---Think only Condon is locked in and still think there is a very real shot that Bassett misses, but I can't think of a viable alternative.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
She Said
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Fabelmans
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
She Said
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever / “Lift Me Up”
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio / “Ciao Papa”
RRR / “Naatu Naatu”
Spirited / “Good Afternoon”
Top Gun: Maverick / “Hold My Hand”
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes
Last Flight Home
Moonage Daydream
Navalny
Retrograde
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Close
EO
The Quiet Girl
Saint Omer
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
Wendell & Wild
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Elvis
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST FILM EDITING
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Corsage
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
BEST MAKEUP
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Batman
Elvis
The Whale
BEST SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Moonage Daydream
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Avatar: The Way of Water
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
Jurassic World: Dominion
Thirteen Lives
Top Gun: Maverick
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
BEST PICTURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Todd Field, Tár
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Todd Field, Tár
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
"Men get to be a mixture of the charming mannerisms of the women they have known." - F. Scott Fitzgerald
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
BEST PICTURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
S. S. Rajamouli, RRR
Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Jeremy Pope, The Inspection
(Possible: Tom Hanks or Paul Mescal)
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyler Henry, Causeway
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
(Possible: Judd Hirsch or Brad Pitt)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
(Possible: Stephanie Hsu or Nina Hoss)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
She Said
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Fabelmans
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever / “Lift Me Up”
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio / “Ciao Papa”
RRR / “Naatu Naatu”
Spirited / “Good Afternoon”
Top Gun: Maverick / “Hold My Hand”
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Moonage Daydream
Navalny
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Close
Decision to Leave
The Quiet Girl
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
Wendell & Wild
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Elvis
Empire of Light
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST FILM EDITING
All Quiet on the Western Front
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Avatar: Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
The Woman King
BEST MAKEUP
All Quiet on the Western Front
Amsterdam
The Batman
Elvis
The Whale
BEST SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Elvis
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
Nope
Top Gun: Maverick
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
S. S. Rajamouli, RRR
Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Jeremy Pope, The Inspection
(Possible: Tom Hanks or Paul Mescal)
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyler Henry, Causeway
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
(Possible: Judd Hirsch or Brad Pitt)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
(Possible: Stephanie Hsu or Nina Hoss)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
She Said
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Fabelmans
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever / “Lift Me Up”
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio / “Ciao Papa”
RRR / “Naatu Naatu”
Spirited / “Good Afternoon”
Top Gun: Maverick / “Hold My Hand”
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Moonage Daydream
Navalny
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Close
Decision to Leave
The Quiet Girl
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
Wendell & Wild
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Elvis
Empire of Light
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST FILM EDITING
All Quiet on the Western Front
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Avatar: Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
The Woman King
BEST MAKEUP
All Quiet on the Western Front
Amsterdam
The Batman
Elvis
The Whale
BEST SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Elvis
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
Nope
Top Gun: Maverick
"Because here’s the thing about life: There’s no accounting for what fate will deal you. Some days when you need a hand. There are other days when we’re called to lend a hand." -- President Joe Biden, 01/20/2021
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Best Picture
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
The Woman King
Best Director
Edward Berger - All Quiet on the Western Front
Joseph Kosinski - Top Gun: Maverick
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Schreinert - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin
Gina Prince-Bythewood - The Woman King
Best Actor
Austin Butler - Elvis
Daniel Craig - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett - Tár
Viola Davis - The Woman King
Ana de Armas - Blonde
Danielle Deadwyler - Till
Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brad Pitt - Babylon
Ke Huy Quon - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
Dolly De Leon - Triangle of Sadness
Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Janelle Monáe - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Best Original Screenplay
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Till
Triangle of Sadness
Best Adapted Screenplay
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
She Said
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
The Woman King
Best Director
Edward Berger - All Quiet on the Western Front
Joseph Kosinski - Top Gun: Maverick
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Schreinert - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin
Gina Prince-Bythewood - The Woman King
Best Actor
Austin Butler - Elvis
Daniel Craig - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett - Tár
Viola Davis - The Woman King
Ana de Armas - Blonde
Danielle Deadwyler - Till
Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brad Pitt - Babylon
Ke Huy Quon - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
Dolly De Leon - Triangle of Sadness
Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Janelle Monáe - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Best Original Screenplay
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Till
Triangle of Sadness
Best Adapted Screenplay
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
She Said
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
BEST PICTURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Todd Field, TÁR
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
S. S. Rajamouli, RRR
Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Jean Smart, Babylon
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
She Said
White Noise
Women Talking
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
RRR
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Todd Field, TÁR
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
S. S. Rajamouli, RRR
Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Jean Smart, Babylon
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
She Said
White Noise
Women Talking
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Can't mull this over anymore. Not remotely sure about Best Picture.
BEST PICTURE
*All Quiet on the Western Front
*Babylon
*The Banshees of Inisherin
*Elvis
*Everything Everywhere All At Once
*The Fabelmans
*RRR
*TÁR
*Top Gun: Maverick
*Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Daniel Kwan, Daniel Schreinert, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Todd Field, TÁR
S.S. Rajamouli, RRR
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
The Fabelmans
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever / “Lift Me Up”
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio / “Ciao Papa”
RRR / “Naatu Naatu”
Tell It Like a Woman / “Applause”
Top Gun: Maverick / “Hold My Hand”
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Navalny
The Territory
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Close
Decision to Leave
The Quiet Girl
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Bad Guys
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Elvis
Empire of Light
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST FILM EDITING
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
The Woman King
BEST MAKEUP
All Quiet on the Western Front
Amsterdam
The Batman
Elvis
The Whale
BEST SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Thirteen Lives
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST PICTURE
*All Quiet on the Western Front
*Babylon
*The Banshees of Inisherin
*Elvis
*Everything Everywhere All At Once
*The Fabelmans
*RRR
*TÁR
*Top Gun: Maverick
*Triangle of Sadness
BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Daniel Kwan, Daniel Schreinert, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Todd Field, TÁR
S.S. Rajamouli, RRR
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
BEST ACTOR
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
The Fabelmans
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Women Talking
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever / “Lift Me Up”
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio / “Ciao Papa”
RRR / “Naatu Naatu”
Tell It Like a Woman / “Applause”
Top Gun: Maverick / “Hold My Hand”
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Navalny
The Territory
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Close
Decision to Leave
The Quiet Girl
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Bad Guys
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Elvis
Empire of Light
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST FILM EDITING
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
The Woman King
BEST MAKEUP
All Quiet on the Western Front
Amsterdam
The Batman
Elvis
The Whale
BEST SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Thirteen Lives
Top Gun: Maverick
Last edited by Sabin on Tue Jan 24, 2023 12:08 am, edited 3 times in total.
"How's the despair?"
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Static 10Eenusch wrote:Is Best Picture now a static 10 nominees or 5-10 depending on votes?
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Is Best Picture now a static 10 nominees or 5-10 depending on votes?
-
Big Magilla
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19338
- Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 3:22 pm
- Location: Jersey Shore
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Top Categories Only
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking
Triangle of Sadness is a bit shaky, but probably less so than The Whale which I don't see as having a last-minute resurgence other than in acting and screenplay. Women Talking is probably dead in anything other than screenplay but I don't see anything else that could get enough support to fill the last slot unless they opt for Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio which is a slam dunk for Best Animated Feature.
Directing
The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)
Everything Everywhere All at Once (Daniel Quan, Daniel Scheinert)
The Fabelmans (Steven Spielberg)
TÁR (Todd Field)
Triangle of Sadness (Ruben Ostlund)
Top Gun: Maverick's Jospeh Kosinki is unlikely to repeat his DGA nod here. They are more likely to go with the director of a foreign film. I see it as between Ostlund and Edward Berger for All Quiet on the Western Front. The latter is a stronger pick in light of the BAFTAs but Oscar voters could still go in a different direction and choose Ostlund.
Actor
Austin Butler - Elvis
Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Paul Mescal - Aftersun
Bill Nighy – Living
I’m expecting this to be the first year since 1934 in which all five nominees are first timers and the first since 1930-31 in which there are five first-timers here.
Actress
Cate Blanchett - TÁR
Viola Davis – The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler – Till
Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Blanchett, Yeoh, and Deadwyler for sure, with Davis and Williams the most likely of the also-rans.
Supporting Actor
Paul Dano – The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quon – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Hirsch seems the likeliest to keep this from being a category of first timers preventing all ten male acting nominees from being all first timers for the first time in Oscar history.
Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness
Nina Hoss - TÁR
I finally caught up with Black Pander: Wakanda Forever. Bassett is very strong but like Jamie Lee Curtis, it is name recognition rather than the performance itself that is propelling her. Condon remains the one sure bet based on performance alone. Hoss is my outside pick for the fifth slot.
Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
These are all strong contenders that should make the cut.
Adapted Screenplay
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Living
She Said
The Whale
Women Talking
All Quiet on the Western Front could supplant She Said, but the others seem likely and, no, I didn't forget Glass Onion which Netflix shamefully promoted the hell out of while ignoring All Quiet on the Western Front and White Noise, both of which are far superior films.
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking
Triangle of Sadness is a bit shaky, but probably less so than The Whale which I don't see as having a last-minute resurgence other than in acting and screenplay. Women Talking is probably dead in anything other than screenplay but I don't see anything else that could get enough support to fill the last slot unless they opt for Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio which is a slam dunk for Best Animated Feature.
Directing
The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)
Everything Everywhere All at Once (Daniel Quan, Daniel Scheinert)
The Fabelmans (Steven Spielberg)
TÁR (Todd Field)
Triangle of Sadness (Ruben Ostlund)
Top Gun: Maverick's Jospeh Kosinki is unlikely to repeat his DGA nod here. They are more likely to go with the director of a foreign film. I see it as between Ostlund and Edward Berger for All Quiet on the Western Front. The latter is a stronger pick in light of the BAFTAs but Oscar voters could still go in a different direction and choose Ostlund.
Actor
Austin Butler - Elvis
Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Paul Mescal - Aftersun
Bill Nighy – Living
I’m expecting this to be the first year since 1934 in which all five nominees are first timers and the first since 1930-31 in which there are five first-timers here.
Actress
Cate Blanchett - TÁR
Viola Davis – The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler – Till
Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Blanchett, Yeoh, and Deadwyler for sure, with Davis and Williams the most likely of the also-rans.
Supporting Actor
Paul Dano – The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quon – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Hirsch seems the likeliest to keep this from being a category of first timers preventing all ten male acting nominees from being all first timers for the first time in Oscar history.
Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness
Nina Hoss - TÁR
I finally caught up with Black Pander: Wakanda Forever. Bassett is very strong but like Jamie Lee Curtis, it is name recognition rather than the performance itself that is propelling her. Condon remains the one sure bet based on performance alone. Hoss is my outside pick for the fifth slot.
Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
These are all strong contenders that should make the cut.
Adapted Screenplay
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Living
She Said
The Whale
Women Talking
All Quiet on the Western Front could supplant She Said, but the others seem likely and, no, I didn't forget Glass Onion which Netflix shamefully promoted the hell out of while ignoring All Quiet on the Western Front and White Noise, both of which are far superior films.
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
Best Film
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything, Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
Women Talking
*Triangle of Sadness in place of Women Talking
Best Actor
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
*Bill Nighy (Living) in place of Cruise
Best Actress
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
*Michelle Williams (Fabelmans) or Emma (Leo Grande) in place of de Armas
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Ben Whishaw, Women Talking
*Judd Hirsch (Fabelmans) in place of Whishaw
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
*Dolly de Leon (Triangle) in place of Williams
Best Director
Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave
Todd Field, Tár
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
*Ostlund (Triangle) in place of Chan-wook
Winners:
Banshees, Farrell, Yeoh, Huy Quan, Condon, McDonagh
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything, Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
Women Talking
*Triangle of Sadness in place of Women Talking
Best Actor
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
*Bill Nighy (Living) in place of Cruise
Best Actress
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
*Michelle Williams (Fabelmans) or Emma (Leo Grande) in place of de Armas
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Ben Whishaw, Women Talking
*Judd Hirsch (Fabelmans) in place of Whishaw
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
*Dolly de Leon (Triangle) in place of Williams
Best Director
Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave
Todd Field, Tár
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
*Ostlund (Triangle) in place of Chan-wook
Winners:
Banshees, Farrell, Yeoh, Huy Quan, Condon, McDonagh
Last edited by Reza on Mon Jan 23, 2023 9:43 pm, edited 4 times in total.
-
anonymous1980
- Laureate
- Posts: 6384
- Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 10:03 pm
- Location: Manila
- Contact:
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
BEST PICTURE OF THE YEAR
All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) Malte Grunert, producer.
Avatar: The Way of Water (Lightstorm Entertainment) James Cameron and Jon Landau, producers.
The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) Peter Czernin, Graham Broadbent and Martin McDonagh, producers.
Elvis (Warner Bros.) Baz Luhrmann, Gail Berman, Catherine Martin, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss, producers.
Everything, Everywhere All At Once (A24) Jonathan Wang, producer.
The Fabelmans (Universal/Amblin) Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner and Kristie Macosko-Krieger, producers.
Tár (Focus Features) Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan and Scott Lambert, producers.
Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount/Skydance) Tom Cruise, Jerry Bruckheimer, David Ellison and Christopher McQuarrie, producers.
The Whale (A24) Darren Aronofsky, Ari Handel and Jeremy Dawson, producers.
Women Talking (Plan B) Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Frances McDormand, producers.
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
Todd Field, Tár
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Stephanie Hsu, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
written by Martin McDonagh
Everything, Everywhere All At Once
written by Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans
written by Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg
Tár
written by Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness
written by Ruben Ostlund
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson and Ian Stokell
based on the novel by Erich Maria Remarque
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
screenplay by Rian Johnson.
based on his previous film
Living
screenplay by Kazuo Isihiguro
based on the film Ikiru screenplay by Akira Kurosawa, Shinobu Hashimoto and Hideo Oguni and the novella The Death of Ivan Ilyich by Leo Tolstoy
The Whale
screenplay by Samuel D. Hunter
based on his play.
Women Talking
screenplay by Sarah Polley
based on the novel by Miriam Toews.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (Netflix)
Marcel The Shell With Shoes On (A24)
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Dreamworks)
Turning Red (PIXAR/Disney)
Wendell and Wild (Netflix)
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front, Germany
Argentina, 1985, Argentina
Close, Belgium
Decision to Leave, South Korea
The Quiet Girl, Ireland
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes (Rise Films/Kiterabbit Films)
All The Beauty and the Bloodshed (Participant/HBO)
Descendant (Netflix)
Fire of Love (National Geographic)
Navalny (HBO Documentary)
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY
James Friend, All Quiet on the Western Front
Greig Fraser, The Batman
Mandy Walker, Elvis
Janusz Kaminski, The Fabelmans
Claudio Miranda, Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN FILM EDITING
Svenn Budelmann, All Quiet on the Western Front
David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua and Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar: The Way of Water
Mikkel E.G. Nielsen, The Banshees of Inisherin
Paul Rogers, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Hamiton, Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN PRODUCTION DESIGN
Avatar: The Way of Water
Dylan Cole and Ben Procter (production design) & Vanessa Cole (set decoration)
Babylon
Florencia Martin (production design) & Anthony Carlino (set decoration)
The Batman
James Chindlund (production design) & Lee Sandales (set decoration)
Elvis
Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy (production design) & Beverly Dunn, Shaun Barry and Daniel Reader (set decoration)
The Fabelmans
Rick Carter (production design) & Karen O'Hara (set decoration)
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN COSTUME DESIGN
Mary Zophres, Babylon
Ruth Carter, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Catherine Martin, Elvis
Jenny Beavan, Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris
Gersha Philipps, The Woman King
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
Justin Hurwitz, Babylon
John Williams, The Fabelmans
Alexandre Desplat, Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
Terence Blanchard, The Woman King
Hildur Guðnadóttir, Women Talking
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"Applause", Tell It Like A Woman; music & lyrics by Diane Warren
"Ciao, Papa", Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio; music by Alexandre Desplat & lyrics by Guillermo Del Toro and Roeban Katz
"Hold My Hand", Top Gun: Maverick; music & lyrics by Lady Gaga, Michael Tucker and Benjamin Rice
"Lift Me Up", Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; music & lyrics by Rihanna, Temilade Openiyi, Ludwig Goransson and Ryan Coogler
"Naatu, Naatu", RRR; music by M. M. Keeravani & lyrics by Chandrabose
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN VISUAL EFFECTS
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN A MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Blonde
Elvis
The Whale
All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) Malte Grunert, producer.
Avatar: The Way of Water (Lightstorm Entertainment) James Cameron and Jon Landau, producers.
The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) Peter Czernin, Graham Broadbent and Martin McDonagh, producers.
Elvis (Warner Bros.) Baz Luhrmann, Gail Berman, Catherine Martin, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss, producers.
Everything, Everywhere All At Once (A24) Jonathan Wang, producer.
The Fabelmans (Universal/Amblin) Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner and Kristie Macosko-Krieger, producers.
Tár (Focus Features) Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan and Scott Lambert, producers.
Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount/Skydance) Tom Cruise, Jerry Bruckheimer, David Ellison and Christopher McQuarrie, producers.
The Whale (A24) Darren Aronofsky, Ari Handel and Jeremy Dawson, producers.
Women Talking (Plan B) Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Frances McDormand, producers.
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
Todd Field, Tár
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Stephanie Hsu, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
written by Martin McDonagh
Everything, Everywhere All At Once
written by Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans
written by Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg
Tár
written by Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness
written by Ruben Ostlund
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All Quiet on the Western Front
screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson and Ian Stokell
based on the novel by Erich Maria Remarque
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
screenplay by Rian Johnson.
based on his previous film
Living
screenplay by Kazuo Isihiguro
based on the film Ikiru screenplay by Akira Kurosawa, Shinobu Hashimoto and Hideo Oguni and the novella The Death of Ivan Ilyich by Leo Tolstoy
The Whale
screenplay by Samuel D. Hunter
based on his play.
Women Talking
screenplay by Sarah Polley
based on the novel by Miriam Toews.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (Netflix)
Marcel The Shell With Shoes On (A24)
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Dreamworks)
Turning Red (PIXAR/Disney)
Wendell and Wild (Netflix)
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front, Germany
Argentina, 1985, Argentina
Close, Belgium
Decision to Leave, South Korea
The Quiet Girl, Ireland
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All That Breathes (Rise Films/Kiterabbit Films)
All The Beauty and the Bloodshed (Participant/HBO)
Descendant (Netflix)
Fire of Love (National Geographic)
Navalny (HBO Documentary)
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY
James Friend, All Quiet on the Western Front
Greig Fraser, The Batman
Mandy Walker, Elvis
Janusz Kaminski, The Fabelmans
Claudio Miranda, Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN FILM EDITING
Svenn Budelmann, All Quiet on the Western Front
David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua and Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar: The Way of Water
Mikkel E.G. Nielsen, The Banshees of Inisherin
Paul Rogers, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Hamiton, Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN PRODUCTION DESIGN
Avatar: The Way of Water
Dylan Cole and Ben Procter (production design) & Vanessa Cole (set decoration)
Babylon
Florencia Martin (production design) & Anthony Carlino (set decoration)
The Batman
James Chindlund (production design) & Lee Sandales (set decoration)
Elvis
Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy (production design) & Beverly Dunn, Shaun Barry and Daniel Reader (set decoration)
The Fabelmans
Rick Carter (production design) & Karen O'Hara (set decoration)
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN COSTUME DESIGN
Mary Zophres, Babylon
Ruth Carter, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Catherine Martin, Elvis
Jenny Beavan, Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris
Gersha Philipps, The Woman King
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
Justin Hurwitz, Babylon
John Williams, The Fabelmans
Alexandre Desplat, Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
Terence Blanchard, The Woman King
Hildur Guðnadóttir, Women Talking
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"Applause", Tell It Like A Woman; music & lyrics by Diane Warren
"Ciao, Papa", Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio; music by Alexandre Desplat & lyrics by Guillermo Del Toro and Roeban Katz
"Hold My Hand", Top Gun: Maverick; music & lyrics by Lady Gaga, Michael Tucker and Benjamin Rice
"Lift Me Up", Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; music & lyrics by Rihanna, Temilade Openiyi, Ludwig Goransson and Ryan Coogler
"Naatu, Naatu", RRR; music by M. M. Keeravani & lyrics by Chandrabose
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN VISUAL EFFECTS
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN A MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Blonde
Elvis
The Whale
Re: Final Oscar Predictions
https://variety.com/2023/awards/awards/ ... 235492501/
Some interesting observations:
“Top Gun: Maverick” love is real and could go all the way.
“Top Gun: Maverick” is beloved, and many members indicate this is their best picture pick or ranked incredibly high on their ballots. Discussions with members of the acting branch have not indicated the alleged “fifth spot” is going to Tom Cruise, but you can choose virtually anyone (Hugh Jackman, Paul Mescal, etc.) and place your bets.
An unspoken secret: many voters don’t love “The Fabelmans.”
When asking about “The Fabelmans,” there are many passionate admirers of the family drama based on director Steven Spielberg’s life. However, a prominent member of the producers’ branch shared with Variety: “I really didn’t like it.”
Many discussions have been had with other members about their unenthusiastic response to the Universal Pictures film. This does not signal a shocking “Fabelmans” best picture or directing snub, but it could hint at key misses coming on Tuesday morning. The same goes for Todd Field’s “Tár,” which is looking to come up short in some tech races but still has hopes to pop up in cinematography and editing.
“Everything Everywhere’s” fate depends on the international members.
The international members are the hardest to gauge this time around. They’ve been a clutch demographic for successful showings like “The Father” (2020) and Penélope Cruz for “Parallel Mothers” (2021). The problem is many movies are splitting that love such as “All Quiet on the Western Front,” “Living,” “RRR” and “Triangle of Sadness.” Even “Tár” eats into the demographic. This is a good point
When it comes to “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” the big night at the Critics Choice Awards surely helped, but the general consensus is that it is loved by younger Academy members and divided with older ones. While many feel confident about the Daniels’ placement in the best director race (which is a smart choice), I’ve been burned too many times by that branch to trust their judgments all the time. People suggest we need to see if the international voters come aboard.
Possible category switcharoos, and the search for the lone screenplay and “WTF?” nominees.
I’ve shared my theory with actors’ branch members that Michelle Williams’ SAG miss could be explained by the NomCom expecting to see her in the supporting actress category for “The Fabelmans.” At least two branch voters tell Variety they voted for the four-time nominee in supporting actress. Interestingly, that’s not the only lead/supporting switch I came across.
Brendan Gleeson had at least two mentions alongside his co-star Colin Farrell for “The Banshees of Inisherin” in best actor, rather than supporting, where he’s campaigned. He would be an interesting “fifth slot” selection, but would likely doom any hopes of Farrell winning in the end (or himself). If Brendan Gleeson gets more votes in Best Actor than the fifth slot, that could get him in, right?
Traditionally, in the expanded era, we’ve seen a screenplay nominee with no other mentions and an actor who shocks, without any precursors. In the case of the writer, some suspects include “Aftersun” and “Triangle of Sadness” (if they come up short in other categories), “She Said” (without Carey Mulligan) and “Glass Onion” (without Janelle Monáe or a tech nod).
Who are the suspects in the acting races without any other mentions? Tom Hanks (“A Man Called Otto” in lead or “Elvis” in supporting), Nina Hoss (“Tár”), Ben Whishaw (“Women Talking”) or Gabriel LaBelle (“The Fabelmans”).
Regarding the Andrea Riseborough “surge” that has occurred in the last couple of days for her work in “To Leslie,” it’s either the most brilliant PR stunt ever performed or something crazy is about to occur with a jaw-dropper in best actress. I’m inclined to believe the former, with only one mention of her film coming from an AMPAS voter, and it wasn’t even an acting branch member.
With voting now closed, any nominations announced after today will not “influence” the race but only supplement it with (possible) helpful information.
Some interesting observations:
“Top Gun: Maverick” love is real and could go all the way.
“Top Gun: Maverick” is beloved, and many members indicate this is their best picture pick or ranked incredibly high on their ballots. Discussions with members of the acting branch have not indicated the alleged “fifth spot” is going to Tom Cruise, but you can choose virtually anyone (Hugh Jackman, Paul Mescal, etc.) and place your bets.
An unspoken secret: many voters don’t love “The Fabelmans.”
When asking about “The Fabelmans,” there are many passionate admirers of the family drama based on director Steven Spielberg’s life. However, a prominent member of the producers’ branch shared with Variety: “I really didn’t like it.”
Many discussions have been had with other members about their unenthusiastic response to the Universal Pictures film. This does not signal a shocking “Fabelmans” best picture or directing snub, but it could hint at key misses coming on Tuesday morning. The same goes for Todd Field’s “Tár,” which is looking to come up short in some tech races but still has hopes to pop up in cinematography and editing.
“Everything Everywhere’s” fate depends on the international members.
The international members are the hardest to gauge this time around. They’ve been a clutch demographic for successful showings like “The Father” (2020) and Penélope Cruz for “Parallel Mothers” (2021). The problem is many movies are splitting that love such as “All Quiet on the Western Front,” “Living,” “RRR” and “Triangle of Sadness.” Even “Tár” eats into the demographic. This is a good point
When it comes to “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” the big night at the Critics Choice Awards surely helped, but the general consensus is that it is loved by younger Academy members and divided with older ones. While many feel confident about the Daniels’ placement in the best director race (which is a smart choice), I’ve been burned too many times by that branch to trust their judgments all the time. People suggest we need to see if the international voters come aboard.
Possible category switcharoos, and the search for the lone screenplay and “WTF?” nominees.
I’ve shared my theory with actors’ branch members that Michelle Williams’ SAG miss could be explained by the NomCom expecting to see her in the supporting actress category for “The Fabelmans.” At least two branch voters tell Variety they voted for the four-time nominee in supporting actress. Interestingly, that’s not the only lead/supporting switch I came across.
Brendan Gleeson had at least two mentions alongside his co-star Colin Farrell for “The Banshees of Inisherin” in best actor, rather than supporting, where he’s campaigned. He would be an interesting “fifth slot” selection, but would likely doom any hopes of Farrell winning in the end (or himself). If Brendan Gleeson gets more votes in Best Actor than the fifth slot, that could get him in, right?
Traditionally, in the expanded era, we’ve seen a screenplay nominee with no other mentions and an actor who shocks, without any precursors. In the case of the writer, some suspects include “Aftersun” and “Triangle of Sadness” (if they come up short in other categories), “She Said” (without Carey Mulligan) and “Glass Onion” (without Janelle Monáe or a tech nod).
Who are the suspects in the acting races without any other mentions? Tom Hanks (“A Man Called Otto” in lead or “Elvis” in supporting), Nina Hoss (“Tár”), Ben Whishaw (“Women Talking”) or Gabriel LaBelle (“The Fabelmans”).
Regarding the Andrea Riseborough “surge” that has occurred in the last couple of days for her work in “To Leslie,” it’s either the most brilliant PR stunt ever performed or something crazy is about to occur with a jaw-dropper in best actress. I’m inclined to believe the former, with only one mention of her film coming from an AMPAS voter, and it wasn’t even an acting branch member.
With voting now closed, any nominations announced after today will not “influence” the race but only supplement it with (possible) helpful information.
"How's the despair?"
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Big Magilla
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions
I watched the trailer for To Leslie and read the synopsis for the film on IMDb.
It looks like another Hillbilly Elegy with a way over-the-top performance from Riseborough. I don't get the push, last minute or otherwise.
If any British actress is going to make it into the final five, I hope that it's Emma Thompson for Good Luck to You, Leo Grande whose BAFTA nod surprised and delighted me.
It looks like another Hillbilly Elegy with a way over-the-top performance from Riseborough. I don't get the push, last minute or otherwise.
If any British actress is going to make it into the final five, I hope that it's Emma Thompson for Good Luck to You, Leo Grande whose BAFTA nod surprised and delighted me.
Final Oscar Predictions
As usual, my last final predictions for the top 6 categories. Some "no guts, no glory"
Best Picture
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TAR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
The Whale
Best Director
Edward Berger “All Quiet on the Western Front”
Martin McDonagh “The Banshees of Inisherin”
The Daniels “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Steven Spielberg “The Fabelmans”
Todd Field “Tar”
Best Actor
Austin Butler “Elvis
Colin Farrell “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Brendan Fraser “The Whale”
Paul Mescal “Aftersun”
Bill Nighy “Living”
Best Lead Actress:
Cate Blanchett “Tàr”
Viola Davis “The Woman King”
Danielle Deadwyler “Till”
Michelle Williams “The Fabelmans”
Michelle Yeoh “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano “The Fabelmans”
Brendan Gleeson “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Barry Keoghan “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Ke Huy Quan “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Eddie Redmayne “The Good Nurse”
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Kerry Condon, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Nina Hoss “Tar”
Jamie Lee Curtis “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Dolly De Leon “Triangle of Sadness”
PS: I don't buy the final push for Andrea Riseborough. Taking into account the fact that the number of academy member has grown considerably I wonder how many of them really did see her movie. But... what do I know.
Best Picture
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TAR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
The Whale
Best Director
Edward Berger “All Quiet on the Western Front”
Martin McDonagh “The Banshees of Inisherin”
The Daniels “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Steven Spielberg “The Fabelmans”
Todd Field “Tar”
Best Actor
Austin Butler “Elvis
Colin Farrell “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Brendan Fraser “The Whale”
Paul Mescal “Aftersun”
Bill Nighy “Living”
Best Lead Actress:
Cate Blanchett “Tàr”
Viola Davis “The Woman King”
Danielle Deadwyler “Till”
Michelle Williams “The Fabelmans”
Michelle Yeoh “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano “The Fabelmans”
Brendan Gleeson “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Barry Keoghan “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Ke Huy Quan “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Eddie Redmayne “The Good Nurse”
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Kerry Condon, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Nina Hoss “Tar”
Jamie Lee Curtis “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Dolly De Leon “Triangle of Sadness”
PS: I don't buy the final push for Andrea Riseborough. Taking into account the fact that the number of academy member has grown considerably I wonder how many of them really did see her movie. But... what do I know.