ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY's Oscar Odds? Not in SPECIAL Issue

For the films of 2011
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HollywoodZ
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Re: ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY's Oscar Odds? Not in SPECIAL Issue

Post by HollywoodZ »

I'll just say this, reading the justifications from their "voters" make me no longer care who the winners are anymore.
Jefforey Smith
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Re: ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY's Oscar Odds? Not in SPECIAL Issue

Post by Jefforey Smith »

For the other categories, here's what ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY projects....

Original Screenplay: Midnight in Paris (special mention: The Artist)
Adapted Screenplay: The Descendants (special mention: Hugo)
Foreign Language Film: A Separation (Iran) (special mention: Poland's In Darkness)
Animated Feature: Rango
Animated Short Film: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
Editing: The Artist (special mentions: Hugo and The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo)
Cinematography: The Tree of Life (special mention: Hugo and The Artist)
Art Direction: Hugo
Costume Design: The Artist
Makeup: The Iron Lady (special mention: Albert Nobbs)
Original Score: The Artist
Original Song: The Muppets" "Man or Muppet"
Visual Effects: Rise of the Planet of the Apes (special mention: Hugo)
Sound Mixing: Hugo (special mention: The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo and War Horse)
Sound Editing: Hugo
Documentary Feature: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory (special mentions: Pino and If a Tree Falls)
Documentary Short: Saving Face (special mentions: Incident in New Baghdad and God Is the Bigger Elvis)
Live Action Short: The Shore (special mention: Raju)
Mister Tee
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Re: ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY's Oscar Odds? Not in SPECIAL Issue

Post by Mister Tee »

Big Magilla wrote: What, then, will be worth watching? Billy Crystal doing the same schtick that was moth-eaten a decade ago?
How many minutes into the show before Crystal's first Jeremy Lin joke?
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Re: ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY's Oscar Odds? Not in SPECIAL Issue

Post by Big Magilla »

Ordinarily I would be hoping for an upset if for no other reason than to laugh at the oddsmakers. This year, though, I really don't care.

There has never been an Oscar year that has been so hum-hum rote. Last year I kept thinking up tot the last minute that AMPAS would ultimately reject the retrograde ordinariness of The King's Speech. This year I think the front-runner (The Artist) should win, but it won't be much fun when it's already won just about everything in sight. Oh, I'll watch and be over the moon if Gary Oldman, Meryl Streep, Max von Sydow and/or Jessica Chastain beat the odds, but I have no expectation at this point that any of them will. What, then, will be worth watching? Billy Crystal doing the same schtick that was moth-eaten a decade ago? The Z list presenters? The lack of a fashion faux pas to make the red carpet greetings worth a look? The off-chance that they will bring on a seldom seen star worthy of the designation? Hah! Forget that one

Anyway, here are E.W.'s odds for anyone who still cares:

Best Picture

The Artist - 20%
The Help - 15%
Hugo - 15%
The Descendants - 10%
Midnight in Paris - 10%
Moneyball - 10%
The Tree of Life - 8%
War Horse - 7%
Extrememely Loud and Incredibly Close - 5%

Best Actor (I think they're wrong about this one, but it's nothing to get excited about)

Clooney - 35%
Dujardin - 30%
Pitt - 15%
Bichir - 10%
Oldman - 10%

Best Actress

Davis - 35%
Streep - 30%
Williams - 20%
Close - 10%
Mara - 5%

Best Supporting Actor

Plummer - 45%
von Sydow - 30%
Branagh - 15%
Hill - 5%
Nolte - 5%

Best Supporting Actress

Spencer - 35%
McCarthy - 25% - this should be labeled sic, but it's just plain sick
Bejo - 20%
Chastain - 10%
McTeer - 10%

Direcor

Hazabavicius - 30%
Scorsese - 25%
Allen - 20%
Malick - 15%
Payne - 10%
Jefforey Smith
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ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY's Oscar Odds? Not in SPECIAL Issue

Post by Jefforey Smith »

Some of you know that Entertainment Weekly's actual category-by-category Oscar odds don't appear in its Special OSCAR edition. Rather the categories are handicapped in an article that appears in a regular edition shortly before the ceremony. Does anyone know the date this edition will hit newsstands? (I guess they wait until after the BAFTAs....)
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